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UFC 84: Ill Will Preview

Submitted by Dr J on May 22, 2008 – 2:30 am27 Comments
ufc84.jpg

Las Vegas, Nevada will once again play host to the Ultimate Fighting Championship as UFC 84: Ill Will takes place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena this Saturday night. The UFC 84 fight card features what should be three highly entertaining fights and a very solid undercard.

Main Card

BJ Penn vs Sean Sherk – Boy, oh boy, there are few people who know how to hype up a fight like BJ Penn. Ever since he defeated Joe Stevenson at UFC 80 to win the vacant UFC Lightweight title, he has been antagonizing former champion Sean Sherk for his failed steroid test. BJ Penn is called the “prodigy” for a reason – because he really is that good of a fighter. Penn’s grappling skills are second to none and his flexibility and balance are a thing of beauty to watch. Against a fighter like Sherk, Penn should also have the edge in the striking game which. Penn’s condition, what used to be his achilles heel, has been excellent his past two fights and he should be in great shape again for this fight with Sean Sherk.

Sean Sherk continues to maintain his innocence and insist he never used any steroids. Sherk contends he continues to train as he always has, which according to BJ Penn, means he should test positive again after this fight. Penn has a good point, but lets leave the failed drug test aside for the moment. Sherk’s game is all about his wrestling and ground control. While BJ Penn’s cardio and condition has been suspect in the past, conditioning is one thing that Sean Sherk has never lacked. I’m sure Sherk envisions taking Penn down early and often and working him over with ground and pound for a full five minutes just like he did against Kenny Florian at at UFC 64. The problem is he won’t be able to do that against a fighter like Penn. Penn is excellent off his back and will be able to attempt submissions from positions Sherk never thought possible. I see Penn winning this fight via submission in the second or third rounds. If Sherk is able to survive through round three and advance into the later rounds he may be able to test how good Penn’s conditioning really is. Winner: BJ Penn


Wanderlei Silva vs Keith Jardine – Keith Jardine has gotten somewhat of a bad wrap due to his demoralizing loss to Houston Alexander at UFC 71. But if you look at Jardine’s recent you will see that he has beaten the long-time UFC champion Chuck Liddell, the current #1 light heavyweight challenger Forrest Griffin, fellow UFC 84 competitor Wilson Gouveia and really should have beaten Stephan Bonnar if the judges knew how to properly judge a fight. The problem for Jardine is that everyone knows exactly what his game is – a strong kicking game followed by some heavy, wild strikes. Against a fighter like Wanderlei Silva, having such a limited arsenal can be a problem.

Wanderlei Silva is a man in a strange place at the moment. The former longtime PrideFC Welterweight champion has lost his last three fights, getting knocked out against Mirko Filipovic and Dan Henderson and losing a unanimous decision to Chuck Liddell. Silva fought Liddel last December and has been able to use the past five months to get his mental game back in order and will look to regain some of his personal pride against Jardine. While Silva throws wild looping strikes, it seems to continue to work for him. While Jardine has KO power as we saw against Chuck Liddel and Forrest Griffin, if he starts to get the best of Wanderlei, Silva can always resort to his clinch game. I look for Wandi to come back into the cage on point and put on a good show for the crowd. Winner: Wanderlei Silva

Tito Ortiz vs Lyoto Machida – While Tito Ortiz has been less than impressive recently and hasn’t had a convincing victory since his UFC 51 victory over Vitor Belfort in 2005. However, other than his rematch with Chuck Liddel at UFC 66, Ortiz really hasn’t had a fight that truly motivated him. This fight, the last on his UFC contract is Tito’s “contract fight.” We’ve all heard about pro athletes having to perform in the last year of their contract, also known as their “contract year.” Well, this fight is where Tito Ortiz know’s he will make his money for the next three years, and nothing motivates Ortiz more than money. Ortiz will be well conditioned and fully confident that he can beat Lyoto Machida.

Unfortunately for Ortiz, Lyoto Machida will be equally determined and perhaps the most well-rounded fighter Ortiz has faced since he found Randy Couture at UFC 44. Machida is perhaps one of the most technical strikers in the UFC and has some of the best evasive defensive maneuvers of any light heavyweight. Machida’s still jab and karate-style kicking will keep Ortiz off-balance. If (when) Tito is able to bring the fight to the ground, Machida is very adept at jiu-jitsu as well. Ortiz’s whole game is ground and pound, and unfortunately for Tito, being a one-dimensional fighter just doesn’t cut it in today’s UFC.

Ortiz is under pressure to not only win, but win in a decisive, exciting fashion. If he can do that, the money will come either from the EliteXC, Affliction, or some other promotion. Machida is under pressure to stay undefeated and move one step closer to a title shot. I think Machida will out-point Ortiz on his way to a unanimous decision victory. Winner: Lyoto Machida

Thiago Silva vs Antonio Mendes – Antonio Mendes brings a solid 14-2 record into his UFC debut, but he has yet to face any upper-level competition. Thiago Silva is still undefeated at 13-0 and has finished hist last three fights in the UFC via TKO. Most recently, Silva stopped the rising star that was Houston Alexander at UFC 78 last November. Silva is an excellent fighter will excellent grappling and striking skills. Mendes will definitely have his hands full and if he can make it out of the first round, he should consider his UFC debut a success. Winner: Thiago Silva

Wilson Gouveia vs Goran Reljic – Since losing via decision to Keith Jardine in his UFC debut, Wilson Gouveia has reeled off four straight victories including three via submission. Goran Reljic is a strong grappler in his own right and probably has the edge in pure wrestling skill. I think Gouveia will have no problem will Reljic and give him a rude welcome to the UFC while notching yet another victory via submission. Winner: Wilson Gouveia

Undercard

Ivan Salaverry vs Rousimar PalharesWinner: Rousimar Palhares
Rameau Sokoudjou vs Kazuhiro NakamuraWinner: Rameau Sokoudjou
Rick Clementi vs Terry EtimWinner: Rich Clementi
Jon Koppenhaver vs Yoshiyuki YoshidaWinner: Yoshiyuki Yoshida
Jason Tan vs Dong Hyun KimWinner: Dong Hyun Kim
Christian Wellisch vs Shane CarwinWinner: Shane Carwin

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