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The UFC will travel to Germany for the first time this Saturday night as UFC 99: The Comeback takes place in Cologne, Germany. For a fight card that started off appearing rather weak, the lineup now is full of good, exciting matchups.

Main Card

Rich Franklin vs. Wanderlei Silva – When the matchup between former UFC middleweight champion Rich Franklin and former Pride middleweight champion Wanderlei Silva was announced, I had to sit back and scratch my head a bit. I didn’t, and still don’t, see what the UFC is trying to accomplish with this matchup, but the more I look at it, the more excited I am to see this fight.

After losing four of his last five fights, Wanderlei Silva made the decision to drop down to the middleweight division and try his luck at 185 lbs. Rich Franklin, on the other hand, is now testing his luck in the light heavyweight division after his inability to compete with Anderson Silva for the middleweight crown. The two fighters will now meet in the middle at a catchweight of 195 lbs. for this fight.

Wanderlei Silva clearly doesn’t strike the same fear in his opponent’s hearts like he did in years past and the former champ has taken his share of KO losses in the past few years. Wandi’s strengths remain his aggressive style and superior clinch game. While Silva is highly trained in grappling, he very rarely will take the fight to the ground.

Defending against a strong clinch game is obviously something that Rich Franklin has had issues with in the past. Franklin needs to use his quickness and kicking game to avoid Wandi’s clinch. Franklin is strong enough to not be overpowered by Wandi and should the fight hit the ground, I think Rich probably has the edge in pure wrestling.

Where this fight will be won or lost for both fighters is on the feet. If Rich can avoid getting clipped by any of Silva’s wide, looping power strikes he should be able to win this fight. A strong kicking game to keep Wandi off-balance will go a long way for Franklin. Wandi needs to make this fight one of his signature “brawl” style fights and just look to put that old-style “Axe-Murderer” pressure on Franklin.

Winner: Rich FranklinCheick Kongo vs. Cain Velasquez – For all the victories he’s had in the UFC, Cheick Kongo continues to be a gate-keeper type fighter in the heavyweight division.

Cain Velasquez is the new “hot thing” (along with Shane Carwin) in the UFC’s heavyweight division, and this fight will be one of those “put him over” fights. If Velasquez can dispatch Kongo with the easy and power he has used against his first five opponents, then Cain can expect to start receiving some serious hype and backing by the UFC brass. Should Kongo come out on top, I don’t think he is placed anywhere closer to his desire for a title shot.

Kongo needs to use it reach advantage and kicking game in this fight to keep Velasquez at a distance. If Cain is allowed to get in close and throw his heavy strikes, Kongo could be in trouble.

I see this fight going the full three rounds as Kongo is tough opponent to finish, but in the end I think Velasquez lands more power shots and out-points the Frenchman on way to another victory.

Winner: Cain Velasquez

Mike Swick vs. Ben Saunders – While Ben Saunders had a brilliant Muay-Thai clinch victory over Brandon Wolff last December, I’m not quite sure why he is being matched up with Mike Swick in this fight. In my book, Saunders still has a ways to go before he fights a guy like Swick, as I think Swick easily outclasses Saunders in all aspects on the match.

Mike Swick’s hand-speed and power will be quicker than Saunders. Swick should be stronger than Saunders, now that he has a few attempts at the 170 lb. weight-cut under his belt. While you can never count any fighter out of a matchup, I don’t see many ways for Saunders to win this fight and I look for Swick to end the fight sometime in the first or second round.

Winner: Mike Swick

Marcus Davis vs. Dan Hardy – For all the trash-talking these two fighters have been doing back and forth, I think that the actual fight might be a bit of a let-down. One would expect both guys to stand and trade strikes for the whole fight as both Hardy and Davis are known for their punching power.

However, if you look back over Marcus Davis’ career, he has won nearly twice as many fights by submission than he has by knockout, and I think that will be the surprise of this match. I look for both fighters to stand and trade blows to open the match, but I anticipate Davis trying to use more of a ground and pound style in this fight with hopes of securing a submission.

Now, on the other hand, if both fighters do decide to stand and duke-it-out for a full three rounds, we could see some fireworks and its really anyone’s guess as to who catches whom first.

Winner: Marcus Davis

Spencer Fisher vs. Caol Uno – Caol Uno is an MMA veteran and will be returning to the UFC for the first time in nearly seven years. While Uno has recently enjoyed a bit of resurgence in his MMA career, I think that Spencer Fisher will bring too much to the table for the crafty veteran.

For Uno to be successful he needs to avoid the striking power of Fisher at all costs and work as hard as possible at getting the fight to the mat. Uno’s strength against Fisher will lie in his grappling skills and he needs to do everything possible to secure a submission early on in the fight.

Spencer Fisher has never lost via submission in his 26 fight career and has been known to win via submission himself. I think Fisher has too much power in the striking game and will be physically stronger than Uno when the fight hits the mat. If Fisher can stay composed as he often does and work to overpower the smaller Uno on the ground, he should be able to win this fight via TKO or decision.

Winner: Spencer Fisher

Mirko Filipovic vs. Mustapha al Turk – While all things are setup for Mirko “Cro Cop” to make a triumphant return to the UFC, I don’t necessarily think the going will be that easy. Cro Cop is coming off another knee injury that required surgery and will be back in action for the first time in six months.

While Al Turk isn’t the most formidable opponent, any opponent could be trouble for Mirko should he not show up in top shape with crisp striking. If Al Turk is smart he will bully Mirko up against the cage where the Croatian is uncomfortable and use the ground as much as possible. While Mirko has the tools needed to win this fight easily, he needs to prove he is back to performing at a high level before I can throw any faith at him.

Winner: Mustapha al Turk

Undercard

Terry Etim vs. Justin BuchholzWinner: Justin Buchholz
Dennis Siver vs. Dale HarttWinner: Dennis Siver
Paul Taylor vs. Peter SobottaWinner: Peter Sobotta
Paul Kelly vs. Rolando DelgadoWinner: Paul Kelly
Denis Stojnic vs. Stefan StruveWinner: Denis Stojnic
John Hathaway vs. Rick StoryWinner: John Hathaway

14 Comments
What do you have to say? Leave a Comment

  1. bvrasp says:

    My picks are almost identical for the main card doc, except i got Crocop winning.

    Also i think Paul Taylor has been somewhat underrated, hes lost 3 of his past 4 fights, but hes been fighting tough guys man, Marcus Davis, Lytle and Paul Kelly. Though he lost to those guys every one of those fights have been the fight of the night. I think Peter Sobotta is undefeatd but ive never really heard of him or anyone hes fought to get that record.

    • Dr J says:

      yeah, I wrestled with picking Al Turk because he clearly shouldnt be able to compete with Cro Cop, but the Cro Cop of the past 3 years isnt the Cro Cop of the PrideFC glory days.

      I want Cro Cop to win and will be pulling for him, but until he shows me he has regained even a fraction of his former game, I cant pick him

      • R.J. St.Croix says:

        i really hope Cro Cop wins this fight. Cro Cop has shown in the past that when his opponent is aggressive and bullies him he has problems. if Al-Turk can back him up and get some takedowns he can win, but i see him being iffy about striking with Cro Cop and giving Mirko the chance to chase him around and pick him apart.

  2. MMAKansas says:

    WAR WANDERLEI! I don’t see how it will happen, the win I am speaking of, but I hope for the best, and am pulling for my boy – that being said, Franklin is a former champion who cannot beat big names – so we will see. His reign was in an era of a light MW division and it allowed him to be seemingly dominant for a while, however, once you add depth to the division he isn’t looks so invicible anymore, and the best of Pride, has bested him so far – that also being said, I think Wands confidence is all but gone, nobody fears him really like they used to so they don’t hesitate and leave him KO openings, instead they stand in the pocket, cover and strike, which is a roll of the dice –

    I see Franklin leg kicking, and high kicking Wand, and using his reach advantage in the punching, Wand on the other end will check those leg kicks and catch quite a few to the face and head, I see Wand pushing for position and landing some highlight shots, but he doesn’t have the height reach to secure a clinch on his taller longer, and stronger opponent and hold it long enough to knee him to death – I am beside myself, I would have figured that they would have given him a true MW but this is really hard -

    • bvrasp says:

      Ya Kansas, you can bet that Rich will be working with Anderson extensively on that clinch defense and possibly offence too. I could see Anderson laying some knowledge on him considering hes leaving the MW div probably forever. Rich always had a good clinch game (until he met Anderson) and i think it would be a good idea for him to improve that aspect of his game so he can use that size to his advantage.

      As for Wandy, ofcourse ill be cheering for him, hes gonna have alot of trouble closing the gap on Rich. His footwork is one of his best skills, then his boxing and reach added to that is a tough obstacle to pass. Technically speaking, theres no reason why Wanderlei should win this fight, but its what doesnt show on paper that will be Wands key to victory.

      Maybe your right, people arent afraid of Wandy anymore… until you get hit hehe. I think that if Wand manages to connect on Franklin hes gonna put that fear into him. If at any time Wandy DOES somehow get Rich in the clinch then he will REALLY feel the fear. :)

      • R.J. St.Croix says:

        not having a healthy fear of Wanderlei Silva is bad for your health, just ask Jardine lol. i think its less about people not fearing him and more that everyone understands the beast now, but if they dont have respect for him, he will catch you slippin. im on the WWW (Wand War Wagon) till the wheels fall off, but like you guys said this is a tough one. Franklin is tough, smart, and well rounded so Wanderlei is gonna have his work cut out for him, if all goes well Silva flies across the cage and leaves Rich a pile of bloody mush in about 30 seconds lol dont get me wrong i like Rich, i just like Wanderlei more.

  3. bvrasp says:

    Morning ladies, dont forget UFC is in Germany today, so its gonna be live at 3pm est. Get that TVU up an running and heres a backup link.

    http://felipecordobatv.ucoz.net/

  4. patrick says:

    doesnt it suck to see your fighter lose gentlemen??

  5. MMAKansas says:

    SPOILER*******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************I am personally disturbed – I felt the main event would go differently, all I will say.

  6. MMAKansas says:

    Oh I am just gonna say it! WANDY should’a at least got a split decision, this is crap, he had a take down in the 1st, landed good, squeaked it out, 2nd, he dominated, nearly killing Ace, and the 3rd was too close to call.. c’mon, geigh American judges, but what do you expect, Franklin did land good shots, but damage alone in the 2nd goes to Wand, domination and takedown in the first…. Wand.. eesh..

  7. bvrasp says:

    Kansas seems like alot of people are disputing the “night of decisions”. Davis/Hardy, Fisher/Uno and Franklin/Silva all went to the cards and they were all very close fights to call.

    I heard an interesting idea today, more judges, only 3 doesnt seem to be enough. The 10 point must system works better in boxing where you have 10-12 rounds in a fight but with 3-5 rounds its really hard to decisively award a close round.

    I have to admit i had trouble scoring rounds myself in those 3 fights. One guy lands alot of small shots, the other guy land the harder shots clearly causing more damage but fewer in number. Then one guy get a knockdown and the other guy gets a takedown… how the hell do you score that?

    Much like boxing it seems that whoever wins the final 2 min of the round seems to get the nod on the cards.

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