
Randy Couture vs. Antonio Nogueira – Two grizzled MMA veterans take center stage for the main event at UFC 102. Randy Couture continues to defy logic and appears to be physically better than man fighters ten years younger. Antonio Nogueira on the other hand is a fighter who appears ten years older than he really is.
I think it’s a good thing this fight is only a three round affair, because I think it is going the distance and the fourth and fifth rounds could be ugly and boring had it been a title fight.
It’s hard to say who is the better striker at this point. Nogueira should have the edge but he really hasn’t shown any hint of striking prowess in his last few fights. Randy has been around the block enough that he always comes in a with a top notch game plan and should be able to counterstrike with Big Nog.
Nogueira definitely has the better pure submission game, but Couture’s wrestling technique should be able to negate a lot of what Nogueira will attempt on the mat.
I think Couture does enough and wins this fight on points.
Winner: Randy Couture
Keith Jardine vs. Thiago Silva – Keith Jardine’s UFC career dictates that he will win this fight. Jardine has flip-flopped victories and losses over his last six fights, and a loss to Quinton Jackson at UFC 96 indicates a victory against Thiago Silva at UFC 102.
Unfortunately for Jardine, I don’t subscribe to that theory and I think the “Dean of Mean” is looking at back-to-back losses for the first time in his career.
Thiago Silva is coming off the first loss of his career. After starting out 13-0, Silva met up with Lyoto Machida at UFC 94 and was subsequently KO’d.
Thiago Silva holds the clear edge in the ground game, although I don’t really see the fight going to the ground as both men love to stand and strike. Jardine will look to utilize his awkward punching and solid kicking game to keep Silva frustrated from a distance. Silva needs to get in close and bully Jardine up, taking the fight to the ground for some ground-and-pound when possible.
I think this fight is close and will end in decision that could easily go either way.
Winner: Thiago Silva
Chris Leben vs. Jake Rosholt – Chris Leben gets welcomed back to the UFC after serving his suspension for banned substances. Leben’s career (and life) has been a roller-coaster ride, with trips to jail, failed drug tests, embarrassing losses and impressive victories.
Leben seems to be getting his MMA game more under control however and this fight with Jake Rosholt is a tailor made matchup for his return. Leben won’t have to worry significantly about Rosholt’s ground game, although my guess is the ground is where Rosholt will attempt to take the fight.
Instead “The Cat Smasher” can focus on what he does best: standing and slugging it out with his opponent. I look for Leben to look a bit sloppy early on, but to shake off the cobwebs and earn a second or third round KO.
Winner: Chris Leben
Nate Marquardt vs. Demian Maia – In my book, Demian Maia is clearly the most gifted submission artist in the UFC today. Unfortunately, I think the UFC has thrown him an extremely bad matchup in Nathan Marquardt.
We all know what Maia’s gameplan is going to be and how he needs to win the fight. Demian needs to work the fight to the ground as quickly and frequently as possible and keep attempting submission after submission until on lands
Marquardt has too much experience and skill for a one-dimensional fighter like Maia, however. If you take away the split decision loss to Thiago Leites at UFC 85 (a fight Leites only won because of two separate point deductions for Marquardt), Nate’s only loss in his last 12 fights was to Anderson Silva at UFC 73.
Marquardt’s striking skills are well known but I think his submission defense is a bit underrated. We will find out Saturday night however. Will Maia be the next fighter to get a shot at Anderson Silva’s title or will Nate “the Great” get a second chance at the title?
Winner: Nate Marquardt
Brandon Vera vs. Krzysztof Soszynski – This matchup against Krzysztof Soszynski truly is pivotal in Brandon Vera’s UFC career. Since his back-to-back losses at heavyweight forced a move to light heavyweight, Vera has been anything but the impressive fighter he was from 2005-2006.
Vera needs to come on with a high energy attack and keep the pressure on Soszynski from the beginning. Working against Vera is the fact that Soszynski is a seasoned veteran who is riding a solid winning streak of his own.
Krzysztof Soszynski has the size and power to prevent Vera from bullying him around and has recently shown good submission skills should the fight hit the ground. My guess is that Vera will work to keep the fight on the feet and attempt a return to the Muay Thai game that made his early career so successful.
What should be a back and forth match will probably end in another decision victory for Vera.
Winner: Brandon Vera
Ed Herman vs. Aaron Simpson – Winner: Ed Herman
Gabriel Gonzaga vs. Chris Tuchscherer – Winner: Gabriel Gonzaga
Justin McCully vs. Mike Russow – Winner: Mike Russow
Tim Hague vs. Todd Duffee – Winner: Tim Hague
Nick Catone vs. Mark Munoz – Winner: Mark Munoz
Marcus Aurelio vs. Evan Dunham – Winner: Marcus Aurelio











Im picking Krzysztof to upset Vera, probably going the distance because Vera has never been finished in a fight, except for what i considered to be an early stoppage against Werdum. I think Krzys is alot hungrier than Vera right now and having a win over someone like Vera will really propel him to the next level of both skill and money.
> Nogueira definitely has the better pure submission game, but Couture’s wrestling technique should be able to negate a lot of what Nogueira will attempt on the mat.
I’m not sure if Nogueira ever wants to take the fight to the ground where he barely has an advantage.
If Jacare could not score a single point against the natural only 3 years ago, Old Minotauro does not have what it takes to tap him out even when he gets on top of him. Strikes may change the ground game a bit in MMA, but Nog is not known for GnP that opens up space for submission. (IMO, that’s why he could not defeat fedor)
However, I still see Nog’s chance to do enough damage on feet to get a close decision win though it’s a slim chance.
> I think this fight is close and will end in decision that could easily go either way. Winner: Thiago Silva
Same here.
> Leben won’t have to worry significantly about Rosholt’s ground game, although my guess is the ground is where Rosholt will attempt to take the fight.
I can’t see how Leben possibly handles Rosholt’s GnP game coupled with solid ground control. I think Leben has to keep the fight on feet for Puerto Rico’s sake and knock the guy out to win this fight. Don’t expect the decision going to the crippler.
> Marquardt has too much experience and skill for a one-dimensional fighter like Maia.
IMO, Demian Maia is a very well rounded fighter that has more overall skill than Nate Marquardt. Nate has the advantage in power/athleticism departments and his smart gameplan including risk management makes many people believe that he won’t be submitted by the BJJ/ADCC world champ. If Demian Maia wins I believe it’s by triangle choke and all other results will see a winner in the other guy.
> My guess is that Vera will work to keep the fight on the feet and attempt a return to the Muay Thai game that made his early career so successful.
Your guess is my wish. I’d really like to see the old ruthless Vera again in the octagon after going thru private matters. However, training exclusively with Lloyd Irvin changed him to a completely different fighter that excels in no particular aspect of the fight to be able to finish his opponents. I’d be very surprised if Vera finished the Ukrainian.
> Ed Herman vs. Aaron Simpson – Winner: Ed Herman
Beside Nate Marqurdt vs Demian Maia, this is the best fight on the card to me. More crosstrained wrestler versus pure wrestling genius that can hit hard. I am predicting that the outcome will look more like Miller vs Sonnen than Miller vs Rosholt.